Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 19.159193 22.122034 25.320268 29.020474 33.174394 37.684450 42.942194
2025-10-19 14.078445 18.169268 23.003758 29.095460 36.519310 45.223154 56.145786
2025-10-26 11.077118 15.628977 21.406712 29.180896 39.256968 51.754237 68.288636
2025-11-02 8.882630 13.544396 19.836307 28.783380 40.984339 56.823467 78.681937
2025-11-09 7.242183 11.852873 18.429729 28.250764 42.249271 61.146676 88.172838
2025-11-16 5.961094 10.428061 17.136439 27.612701 43.153064 64.875057 96.931696
2025-11-23 4.840565 9.042213 15.676767 26.492932 43.155276 67.216355 103.772211
2025-11-30 4.363855 8.611272 15.602327 27.406760 46.153978 73.938078 117.131665
2025-12-07 3.966928 8.246116 15.569778 28.345729 49.212182 80.877736 131.139405
2025-12-14 3.379017 7.438685 14.689191 27.790611 49.838366 84.145424 139.802284
2025-12-21 2.857599 6.665170 13.760906 27.035286 50.035306 86.701225 147.444366
2025-12-28 2.718240 6.622370 14.132898 28.548149 54.064126 95.462905 165.092397
2026-01-04 2.536198 6.490477 14.373151 29.939398 58.148236 104.805050 184.579958
2026-01-11 2.240733 6.070335 14.022513 30.241190 60.419431 111.416358 200.217551
2026-01-18 1.968165 5.647859 13.607335 30.367757 62.372236 117.595651 215.466763
2026-01-25 1.688450 5.148986 12.960971 29.962820 63.300302 122.055745 228.055942
2026-02-01 1.439401 4.670396 12.285276 29.412606 63.886600 125.919629 239.788699
2026-02-08 1.220215 4.218259 11.598410 28.752275 64.184845 129.255003 250.734900
2026-02-15 1.004563 3.720826 10.727782 27.592954 63.390822 130.545208 258.134524
2026-02-22 0.933952 3.631073 10.818693 28.539107 66.857076 139.782002 279.982057
2026-03-01 0.870728 3.549889 10.918804 29.511123 70.434691 149.393320 302.902807
2026-03-08 0.744356 3.233492 10.371885 28.936489 70.753310 152.877441 314.858448
2026-03-15 0.627726 2.915484 9.768169 28.154515 70.557526 155.342582 325.021100